在巴基斯坦军力最薄弱区域搞三军演习，印度想表达什么？

\u003cdiv class=\"rich_media_content\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-flow: row; justify-content: center; margin: 10px 0%; text-align: center; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"align-self: flex-start; border-width: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; flex: 100 100 0%; vertical-align: top; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-flow: row; justify-content: center; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"align-self: flex-start; border-color: rgb(62, 62, 62); border-style: solid; border-width: 1px; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; flex: 0 0 auto; margin: 0px; padding: 20px; vertical-align: top; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(90, 90, 90); font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 1.8; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 1px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 15px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(90, 90, 90)\"\u003e专家认为，双方爆发新军事冲突的可能性比较小。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-flow: row; justify-content: center; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"align-self: flex-start; border-width: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; flex: 100 100 0%; line-height: 0; margin: 0px 10px; vertical-align: top; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"background-color: rgb(227, 239, 255); box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; height: 8px; overflow: hidden; vertical-align: top; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"image-box\"\u003e\u003csvg viewBox=\"0 0 1 1\" style=\"line-height: 0; vertical-align: top; visibility: visible; width: 0px\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-svg=\"\"\u003e\u003c/svg\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e综合参考消息报道，印度即将在西部边境开展的三军联合演习，引发巴基斯坦的警惕。后者已下令多个指挥部及基地进入高度戒备状态，并限制了其中部和南部空域的多条空中交通路线。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e分析认为，演习区域位于战略敏感地区，而且印方尚未宣布今年5月发动的对巴基斯坦军事打击“‌辛杜尔”行动结束，可能是令巴军高度警惕的主要原因；不过，双方爆发新军事冲突的可能性比较小。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003csection style=\"margin-bottom: 0px; text-align: center; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003cp data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"image-box\"\u003e\u003c!--IMG_0--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003cp class=\"qqnews_image_desc\" style=\"color: #666; font-size: 14px; text-align: center\"\u003e\u003c!--NO_READ_BEGIN--\u003e5月7日，军方人员在巴基斯坦旁遮普省穆里德盖遭印度空袭地点查看情况。图源：新华社\u003c!--NO_READ_END--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-flow: row; justify-content: flex-start; margin: 10px 0%; text-align: left; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"align-self: stretch; background-color: rgb(95, 156, 239); border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right: 1px solid rgb(188, 188, 188); border-top: 1px solid rgb(188, 188, 188); border-top-left-radius: 0px; border-top-right-radius: 0px; box-shadow: rgb(255, 255, 255) -3px 3px 0px inset; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; flex: 0 0 auto; margin: 13px 0px 0px; padding: 3px 3px 0px 0px; vertical-align: top; visibility: visible; width: 100%\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"image-box\"\u003e\u003csvg viewBox=\"0 0 1 1\" style=\"line-height: 0; vertical-align: top; visibility: visible; width: 0px\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-svg=\"\"\u003e\u003c/svg\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection style=\"align-self: stretch; border-bottom-color: rgb(188, 188, 188); border-bottom-left-radius: 0px; border-bottom-right-radius: 0px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-left-color: rgb(188, 188, 188); border-left-style: none; border-right-color: rgb(188, 188, 188); border-right-style: solid; border-top-right-radius: 0px; border-width: 0px 1px 1px; box-shadow: rgb(255, 255, 255) 0px 0px 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; flex: 0 0 auto; max-width: 100%; min-width: 10%; padding: 0px 0px 0px 20px; vertical-align: top; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0%; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"background-color: rgb(188, 188, 188); box-sizing: border-box; height: 1px; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"image-box\"\u003e\u003csvg viewBox=\"0 0 1 1\" style=\"line-height: 0; vertical-align: top; visibility: visible; width: 0px\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-svg=\"\"\u003e\u003c/svg\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0%; text-align: center; transform: translate3d(-10px, 0px, 0px); visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(86, 86, 86); letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 2; padding: 0px; visibility: visible\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: left\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 1px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(86, 86, 86)\"\u003e地处战略敏感地带\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e印度发布的航空通告显示，其陆海空三军联合演习将于10月30日至11月10日进行。演习重点区域为锡尔克里克-信德-卡拉奇一线，巴基斯坦消息人士将该区域称为本国的“南部纵深地带”。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_0--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_0--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_0--\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e有情报显示，印度本次演习目的是测试陆海空三军的协同作战能力。印度国防部表示，部队将积极参与验证在具有挑战性的不同地形上的联合行动，包括在溪流和沙漠地区的进攻演习、索拉什特拉海岸的两栖作战以及联合多领域作战演习。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_1--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_1--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_1--\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e值得注意的是，就在演习几天前，印度国防部长辛格放出狠话，称“如果巴基斯坦敢在锡尔克里克采取行动，（印方）回应将非常强烈，从而改变历史和地理”。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e分析认为，巴方的紧张事出有因。印度此次演习地处巴基斯坦军力最薄弱的地区之一，任何实效打击都可能孤立作为巴基斯坦经济中心的卡拉奇，扰乱其海上贸易和能源供应。据悉，巴基斯坦近70%的贸易通过卡拉奇港和卡西姆港进行，这些设施具有重要的战略敏感性。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_2--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_2--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_2--\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e此外，有消息人士指出，印度将演习重点放在这个地区，意在传递一个明确信号，即印度可开辟多条战线，而非仅局限于旁遮普或克什米尔地区。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(62, 62, 62); font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 400; text-align: justify\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; display: flex; flex-flow: row; justify-content: flex-start; margin: 10px 0%; text-align: left\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"align-self: stretch; background-color: rgb(95, 156, 239); border-bottom-width: 0px; border-right: 1px solid rgb(188, 188, 188); border-top: 1px solid rgb(188, 188, 188); border-top-left-radius: 0px; border-top-right-radius: 0px; box-shadow: rgb(255, 255, 255) -3px 3px 0px inset; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; flex: 0 0 auto; margin: 13px 0px 0px; padding: 3px 3px 0px 0px; vertical-align: top; width: 100%\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"image-box\"\u003e\u003csvg viewBox=\"0 0 1 1\" style=\"line-height: 0; vertical-align: top; width: 0px\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-svg=\"\"\u003e\u003c/svg\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection style=\"align-self: stretch; border-bottom-color: rgb(188, 188, 188); border-bottom-left-radius: 0px; border-bottom-right-radius: 0px; border-bottom-style: solid; border-left-color: rgb(188, 188, 188); border-left-style: none; border-right-color: rgb(188, 188, 188); border-right-style: solid; border-top-right-radius: 0px; border-width: 0px 1px 1px; box-shadow: rgb(255, 255, 255) 0px 0px 0px; box-sizing: border-box; display: inline-block; flex: 0 0 auto; max-width: 100%; min-width: 10%; padding: 0px 0px 0px 20px; vertical-align: top\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0%\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"background-color: rgb(188, 188, 188); box-sizing: border-box; height: 1px\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"image-box\"\u003e\u003csvg viewBox=\"0 0 1 1\" style=\"line-height: 0; vertical-align: top; width: 0px\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-svg=\"\"\u003e\u003c/svg\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection style=\"-moz-transform: translate3d(-10px, 0px, 0px); -o-transform: translate3d(-10px, 0px, 0px); -webkit-transform: translate3d(-10px, 0px, 0px); box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px 0%; text-align: center; transform: translate3d(-10px, 0px, 0px)\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(86, 86, 86); letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 2; padding: 0px\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003cp style=\"margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: left\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 1px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(86, 86, 86)\"\u003e新冲突可能性小\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e面对印方放狠话和秀肌肉，巴基斯坦严阵以待。巴方一名高级安全消息人士表示，该国已下令信德省和南旁遮普省的南部各司令部进入高度戒备状态，同时动员空军和海军待命，以应对任何可能的入侵。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_3--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_3--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_3--\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e根据巴基斯坦发布的航空通告，巴基斯坦民航局宣布数条主要空中走廊将暂停使用。分析指出，此举将让巴国内和国际交通受到影响。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e复旦大学南亚研究中心副主任林民旺认为，印度每年都有例行军演，而这次军演造成的紧张，一个主要原因是印度此前发起的军事行动尚未被宣布结束。今年5月7日，印度武装部队发起了代号为“辛杜尔”的行动，打击了巴基斯坦境内的9个目标，导致两国爆发自1971年以来最激烈的空战对抗。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c!--MID_AD_4--\u003e\u003c!--EOP_4--\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c!--PARAGRAPH_4--\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e“印度一直未宣布该行动结束，这意味着，印军一旦动员起来，随时可以动武。而且，印度军演的假想敌就是巴基斯坦。”林民旺表示，巴基斯坦因此必须要做好相应准备。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"letter-spacing: 0.034em\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 16px\"\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9)\"\u003e不过，紧张归紧张，两国爆发新冲突的可能性不大。林民旺认为，如果双方没有进一步挑衅的话，对方也不会展开新的军事行动。\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px 8px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; text-align: justify\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 15px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136)\"\u003e出品深海区工作室\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection style=\"box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px 8px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; text-align: justify\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 15px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136)\"\u003e撰稿王佳烨\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003csection style=\"margin-bottom: 0px\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003csection style=\"margin: 0px 8px; text-align: justify\" data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cspan style=\"font-size: 15px\"\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e\u003cspan style=\"color: rgb(136, 136, 136)\"\u003e编辑深海贝\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003cp style=\"margin-left: 8px; margin-right: 8px; margin-top: 0px; text-align: justify\"\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c/section\u003e\u003cdiv data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=\"wrap\"\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\u003cdiv powered-by=\"qqnews_ex-editor\"\u003e\u003c/div\u003e\u003cstyle\u003e.rich_media_content{--news-tabel-th-night-color: #444444;--news-font-day-color: #333;--news-font-night-color: #d9d9d9;--news-bottom-distance: 22px}.rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}.rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-day-color);font-size:18px}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-night-color)}}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content p:not([data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]){letter-spacing:.5px;line-height:30px;margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance);word-wrap:break-word}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content{color:var(--news-font-night-color)}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content{font-size:18px}.rich_media_content p[data-exeditor-arbitrary-box=image-box]{margin-bottom:11px}.rich_media_content\u003ediv:not(.qnt-video),.rich_media_content\u003esection{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content hr{margin-bottom:var(--news-bottom-distance)}.rich_media_content .link_list{margin:0;margin-top:20px;min-height:0!important}.rich_media_content blockquote{background:#f9f9f9;border-left:6px solid #ccc;margin:1.5em 10px;padding:.5em 10px}.rich_media_content blockquote p{margin-bottom:0!important}.data_color_scheme_dark .rich_media_content blockquote{background:#323232}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]):not([dark-mode-disable=true]) .rich_media_content blockquote{background:#323232}}.rich_media_content ol[data-ex-list]{--ol-start: 1;--ol-list-style-type: decimal;list-style-type:none;counter-reset:olCounter calc(var(--ol-start,1) - 1);position:relative}.rich_media_content ol[data-ex-list]\u003eli\u003e:first-child::before{content:counter(olCounter,var(--ol-list-style-type)) '. 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【纠错】【责任编辑:隔山打kiss】

深度观察

新华全媒头条丨受美封锁影响，委内瑞拉被迫削减原油产量